Super Bowl Positional Breakdown & Prediction
Position by position
breakdown of Super Bowl XLII between the Giants and Patriots:
Quarterback:
Patriots: Tom Brady
Giants: Eli Manning
Manning has been great in
the post season, throwing for 4 TD and 0 INT. When he eliminates mistakes, Eli
has shown that he is as capable as almost any QB in the NFL. However, Manning
is not in the class of Tom Brady (or his older brother Peyton). Coming off his
worst games of the year (3 INT vs. the Chargers), Brady remains the best QB in
the NFL, in no small part for his ability to rebound from subpar games.
Edge: Patriots
Running Back:
Patriots: Laurence
Maroney, Kevin Faulk, Heath Evans
Giants: Brandon Jacobs,
Ahmad Bradshaw, Madison Hedgecock
Both running attacks are
multi-faceted. The Patriots run with Maroney and use Faulk primarily as a
receiver out of the backfield. The Giants employ their “thunder and lightning” combo,
as the 6-foot-4 264-pound Jacobs and the 5-9 198-pound Bradshaw. The running
games are so close, but I hate picking the hackneyed “even” classification.
Edge: Giants
Tight End:
Patriots: Ben Watson,
Kyle Brady
Giants: Kevin Boss,
Michael Matthews
Kevin Boss has filled in
nicely in the absence of the injured Jeremy Shockey. The Patriots have the
pass-receiving tight end in Watson and the big, blocking tight end in Brady, a
virtual OL at 6’6”, 280 lbs. The Patriots’ balance has been vital to their
success.
Edge: Patriots
Wide Receivers:
Patriots: Randy Moss, Wes
Welker, Donte Stallworth, Jabar Gaffney
Giants: Plaxico Burress,
Amani Toomer, Steve Smith, Sinorice Moss
Despite Burress claiming
that the Giants receivers are better than the Patriots, that simply is not a
realistic view. Despite his success, Burress is not quite in the class of Moss.
Welker has been a vital safety net all year for Brady and Stallworth and
Gaffney provide big play and possession threats respectively. The Pats are better
and deeper.
Edge: Patriots
Offensive Line:
Patriots: LT Matt Light,
LG Logan Mankins, C Dan Koppen, RG Stephen Neal, RT Nick Kaczur
Giants: LT David Diehl,
LG Rich Seubert, C Shaun O’Hara, RG Chris Snee, RT Kareem McKenzie
The Giants offensive line
has been solid all year, especially in run blocking. However, despite the
Giants fierce pass rush, the Patriots only have up one sack to them in the Week
17 meeting. That performance was without Neal and Kaczur.
Edge: Patriots
Defensive Line:
Patriots: DE Richard
Seymour, NT Vince Wilfolk, DE Ty Warren, DE Jarvis Green
Giants: DE Michael
Strahan, DT Barry Cofield, DE Justin Tuck, DE Osi Umenyiora, DT Fred Robbins,
The Patriots are very
good at the points of attack, essential to their 3-4 defense. Wilfolk has
developed into a great tackle, occupying multiple OL and freeing up the
linebackers. The Giants pass rush is prolific, highlighted by the three-headed
monster of Strahan, Umenyiora and Tuck.
Edge: Giants
Linebackers:
Patriots: Adalius Thomas,
Mike Vrabel, Junior Seau, Tedy Bruschi
Giants: Reggie Torbor,
Antonio Pierce, Kawika Mitchell, Gerris Wilkinson
Despite the season-ending
loss of Roosevelt Colvin and reports of their age and ineffectiveness, the
Patriots linebackers have done their job when called upon. The “senior
citizens,” Bruschi and Seau, each had a huge play in the AFC Championship Game
vs. the Chargers. Pierce is a fine middle linebacker, but the Giants OLBs are
pedestrian.
Edge: Patriots
Secondary:
Patriots: CB Asante
Samuel, CB Ellis Hobbs, S Rodney Harrison, S James Sanders, S Brandon
Meriweather, CB Randall Gay,
Giants: CB Aaron Ross, CB
Corey Webster, S Gibril Wilson, S James Butler, CB Sam Madison, CB R.W.
McQuarters
The closest thing to a
“shutdown” CB in this game is Asante Samuel, who has made big plays in the post
season. Rodney Harrison has been solid against both the pass and the run. In
week 17, Hobbs intercepted an Eli Manning pass. The Giants have an impressive
rookie, Ross, whose best days are in front of him. The rest of the secondary is
sub-par, but the Giants relentless pass rush masks many of those deficiencies.
If the Giants cannot pressure Brady, he will pick them apart.
Edge: Patriots
Special Teams:
Patriots: K Steven
Gostkowski, P Chris Hanson, R Ellis Hobbs, Wes Welker
Giants: K Lawrence Tynes,
P Jeff Feagles, R Domenik Hixon
After missing two
potential game-winning field goals in regulation, Tynes redeemed himself with a
47-yarder in overtime to send the Giants to the Super Bowl. In his two seasons,
Gostkowski is 9-10 in post-season field goals. Welker and Hobbs are solid
returners for New England. Hixon had a kickoff returned for a TD in the Week 17
game vs. the Patriots.
Edge: Even
The Giants may have
momentum on their side, having won two consecutive playoff road games, but the
Patriots are 18-0 for a reason. They will be able to keep the Giants in check.
If they are able to protect Brady, this game could get very ugly. Many people
seem to like the Giants to win, mostly Giants fans. They seem to think that the
Giants 38-35 loss to the Patriots in Week 17 indicates that they can compete
with the Patriots. First, the game was played in New Jersey in December.
Secondly, Eli Manning had the game of his life, throwing for 4 TD. The Giants
also had a kickoff returned for a touchdown. Despite their success, the Giants
were down 38-28 in the 4th quarter and manufactured a meaningless touchdown
with 64 seconds left on the clock.
The Giants played their
hearts out in the final game of the regular season but could not overcome
Brady, Moss and the Patriots. On Sunday, the Super Bowl will take place in the
beautiful Arizona weather, with no worries about the cold, rain, snow, wind,
etc. These conditions are conducive to a Patriots offensive onslaught. Not only
do I see a 19-0 perfect season for the Patriots, I see them winning the game
going away.
Patriots 41, Giants 20
MVP: Tom Brady
Thank you for your time.
Please send any feedback to gscempski@yahoo.com.
--Gabi Secemski
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